tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13479345.post3635323305202805979..comments2023-08-17T02:17:22.363-07:00Comments on Morikawa Blue: LiarMorikawahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01589615774316545629noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13479345.post-64192195198908125822007-09-17T20:18:00.000-07:002007-09-17T20:18:00.000-07:00Hi Wilson,Personally, I take two things to qualify...Hi Wilson,<BR/><BR/>Personally, I take two things to qualify a MVP candidate:<BR/><BR/>1. From a winning team.<BR/>2. The team cannot enter playoff without him.<BR/><BR/>Thus, I don't have no "should be" answer for NL MVP due to the current chaos of NL pennant race.<BR/><BR/>Speaking of "will be", I put my money on Jake Peavy. As long as the Padres enter the playoff, Peavy for MVP & CYA looks like a no-brainer to me.<BR/><BR/>---------------<BR/><BR/>Hi Dorasaga,<BR/><BR/>個人對 Dodgers 進 playoff 的希望從咱們在 AT&T Park 掉了兩場之後就消失了!只是在 baseline 的 judge 上還需要一些工作時間,這篇文章裡有不少東西其實都不是最近才得到的結論,主要和換了新工作後時間緊縮有很大的關係,甚至 07 season 的 MLB.tv 看起來 donate 給 MLB.com 的成份還多一點。<BR/><BR/>不過 Davenport 的 BRAA 其實很有可能和 Fan Graphs 的 BRAA 有相同的 derivation,畢竟在一個 long run 之下,OPS_Win 和 Run Expectancy Added 其實會很接近,主要的原因也是打者一季下來的 pLI 要離開 1.00 一個 significant 的距離並不是件容易的事。Morikawahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01589615774316545629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13479345.post-90165052983159326522007-09-17T05:51:00.000-07:002007-09-17T05:51:00.000-07:00Hello again,Btw, that "Think More" is very interes...Hello again,<BR/><BR/>Btw, that "Think More" is very interesting, 讓我知道BRAA 和OPS_WIN其實是幾乎一樣的東西。<BR/><BR/>我好像還沒有再度和您提起OPS_WIN如何應用在NPB的洋聯vs央聯打者比較這點上。<BR/><BR/>最近我沒有去算SABR or other metrics,想要整理一些baseball culture 的東西。<BR/><BR/>Oh, that "wait until offseason" comment--does this mean you still have hope of Dodgers making the Wild Card race?Billyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07132352551389612924noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13479345.post-90684401716146620282007-09-16T14:31:00.000-07:002007-09-16T14:31:00.000-07:00Well... who do you think should be the NL MVP? and...Well... who do you think should be the NL MVP? and who do you think will be the NL MVP? (those are two different things right?)<BR/><BR/>Unlike AL, which is fairly clear cut.... I am undecided among a few NL candidates...<BR/><BR/>Cheers,<BR/><BR/>WilsonStarberryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14162252904054559948noreply@blogger.com